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Lib Dem By-Election Victory Shocker!

...and I don't mean shocker because the party is without a leader or because of the recent drink/sex scandals that have hit certain of the LibDem MPs.

I mean shock because the LibDems just overturned a Labour majority of 11,500 votes to win the Dunfermline and East Fife By-Election. This seat was considered a very safe seat for Labour. Wow!

Lib Dems Deliver Blow To Labour (BBC News Online; Friday 10th February 2006)

Comments

( 10 comments — Leave a comment )
sesquipedality
Feb. 10th, 2006 07:08 am (UTC)
*shrug* Means nothing. This always happens in bye elections because there's no chance of it making a blind bit of difference. So people protest vote.
suewilson
Feb. 10th, 2006 07:49 am (UTC)
I don't know.
I kind of like the idea that no leader really is better Blair or Cameron
:)
_grimtales_
Feb. 10th, 2006 08:09 am (UTC)
Did you get my text?

If I forget to phone you today - and since your moby is on the blink - can you give me a call? This morning or lunchtime.
(Deleted comment)
angusabranson
Feb. 10th, 2006 09:40 am (UTC)
Charles Kennedy did quite a bit of campaigning at this By-Election and, despite possibly not being too well liked by the Parliamentary MPs as leader, would probably win the leadership contest again through the activist votes as he still has a tremendous amount of support at ground level. I think a recent internal poll gave him something like 40% share of the vote if he re-ran for leader!?

I do agree that none of the current candidates are particularly 'charismatic' though.
mrmmarc
Feb. 10th, 2006 08:40 am (UTC)
WOW! Indeed.

Looks like reports of the Lib-Dem demise/the rise of the Tories may be a bit premature...
The signs were there however. Last PMQ we saw Cameron score an AMAZING own goal... (the Tories support Lib-Dem policies); Vlair was able to land the blow because Brown had a Tory leaflet pushed through his door (Borwn of course living next door to the by-election area).

The Tories knew they had no chance but it is interesting to note- they were trying to get Lib-Dem vites as their own numbers showed a surge to the LD's.
Labour didn't. It was theres to lose. They really didn't think they would. Not THAT seat.

Guess what?

(smile)
On could dismiss it as a by-election result and to a degree that is true, but a 16% swing? 16%?!? That is BIG.

But it is WAY too sopon to tell if this is indicative of a rejection of Labour... it does seem to be a local result for local people kinda vote... but that discounts Brown campaigning heavily on loccal issues as well.

A genuine, honest WOW moment.
angusabranson
Feb. 10th, 2006 09:48 am (UTC)
LibDem's traditionally do very well at By-Elections and more often than not once they've catured the seat they'll usually keep it at the following General Election.

I think one of the reasons that they didn't do as well as expected in some quarters at the last GE (which was still great in terms of getting more MPs into Parliament than they've had in the last 80 years or so) was that people around the country were worried that if they voted LibDem then the Tories *may* get into power. With By-Elections that concern isn't there. The Tories will not get into power on the strength of the odd seat at present, thus people can either vote the way they would have wanted to in the first place OR cast a protest vote against the government. In this case the Tories have so few votes in Dunfermline that they weren't really ever a threat (and they actually lost 2.51% of votes from the last GE which can't have pleased David Cameron as he went and campaigned up there).
mrmmarc
Feb. 10th, 2006 02:42 pm (UTC)
True.
But also consider...
last election our dear Lib-Dems failed to gain on a crumbling Tory vote. They had unpopular Labour and unpopular Tories.
They did well, but failed to land the killing blow.

Looks like the curent difficulties haven't hurt 'em either.

Still, I remain with my long held belief... if Cameron DOESN'T win the next election, the Tories WILl implode.
And the Lib_Dems could step up.

Could.
Maybe.

We shall see.
adders
Feb. 10th, 2006 09:28 am (UTC)
You see!

The public are ready for a political party whose sex lives resemble those of a 1970s stage farce!

"Whoops! Here comes the PM! Where are my trousers?"

"They're clenched between the teeth of that rent boy!"

"Oh no!"

*pratfall*
angusabranson
Feb. 10th, 2006 09:48 am (UTC)
We may actually see some 'Little Britain' sketches for real in Downing Street within our lifetimes! :p
kimkali
Feb. 10th, 2006 11:04 am (UTC)
Gah!!!!
Ouch...
( 10 comments — Leave a comment )

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