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UK Politics

There is a very good reason why none of the current crop of Cabinet Ministers will come out and call for a leadership election against Gordon Brown.

It's because the next election is pretty much unwinnable for Labour regardles sof who is in charge. It's better to have Gordon as the sacrificial lamb and then mount a challenge to become Leader of the Opposition once the Conservatives are in power and build your base from there.

If a new leader was to replace Brown now, then an election would be almost unavoidable as they would be the second Prime Minister to hold the job without a public vote (Brown hasn't fought a General Election as PM yet as he took over when Blair stepped down *after* the last election). Plus regardless who it is they'd be fighting a loosing cause. Sure, they might be able to build a few bridges but not enough to keep them residing in #10 Downing Street.

To be blunt, if someone took over now I doubt they'd last too long after loosing the Election. So who, out of the serious and viable contenders, is going to want it now? The best thing any of them can do is consolidate their places and start building alliances so after the next Election they can go for the top job.

Thus Gordon Brown will remain as PM. Not because he's doing a good job and has party and cabinet support but because no one else wants the job right now as it's poisoned. The best thing Brown could do that would send his detractors and plotters within his party off-balance would be to resign now. Then someone has to step forward - and risk getting tarnished by loosing the next election. Of course if they win then they're the golden child and those that held back waiting to step in post-Election loss are screwed.

Comments

heliograph
Sep. 15th, 2008 03:22 pm (UTC)
So why are people unhappy with Labour? The Iraq War? Something else? How would things be better if the Torys (Tories?) won?

Everything I know about British politics comes from Time Trumpet. And since they haven't had a new episode in awhile...
angusabranson
Sep. 15th, 2008 03:43 pm (UTC)
I actually think a lot of it stems from the fact that they've been in power for a long time and have become 'the establishment'. Whenever anything goes wrong 'the establishment' get the blame and there are plenty of things going wrong from massive price rises in utility bills (our gas supplies went up by 35% a couple of months ago and that was the second rise this year with a third rumoured to take place in the winter), the credit crunch, the weekly knife stabbings/murders between young kids in London, immigration, war in Iraq, war in Afghanistan, troubles with Russia, Bush, the price of tea, the fact the D&D 4E wasn't what people wanted, etc etc.

Plus the Conservatives have now got a young charismatic leader and Labour has... er... Gordon Brown.

As for what would be better under the Tories. A few things would probably be better and a few things would probably be worse but at the end of the day nothing much will change apart from some people celebrating and some people claiming it's the end of the world and they'll be emmigrating to Canada.

Britain is in as much need of a complete political shake-up as the US and most other countries. We have the two main parties pretty much arguing over the same hymn sheet and the third party has sunk without a trace from the general publics eye after looking like they might actually achieve something a few years ago.
davywavy
Sep. 15th, 2008 10:35 pm (UTC)
Are you a member of the Libdems?
angusabranson
Sep. 15th, 2008 11:01 pm (UTC)
I was up until a couple of years ago when I didn't bother to renew.
davywavy
Sep. 16th, 2008 07:50 am (UTC)
Shame - I was going to suggest to them that they drop their stupid constitutional reforms platform as then I'd be able to vote for them - the LibDems have Vince Cable, who's very clever and able, and the Conservatives have George Osbourne, who isn't, and I'd seriously consider them were it not for their plans to scrap the Lords.

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