?

Log in

No account? Create an account

Previous Entry | Next Entry

UK Politics

There is a very good reason why none of the current crop of Cabinet Ministers will come out and call for a leadership election against Gordon Brown.

It's because the next election is pretty much unwinnable for Labour regardles sof who is in charge. It's better to have Gordon as the sacrificial lamb and then mount a challenge to become Leader of the Opposition once the Conservatives are in power and build your base from there.

If a new leader was to replace Brown now, then an election would be almost unavoidable as they would be the second Prime Minister to hold the job without a public vote (Brown hasn't fought a General Election as PM yet as he took over when Blair stepped down *after* the last election). Plus regardless who it is they'd be fighting a loosing cause. Sure, they might be able to build a few bridges but not enough to keep them residing in #10 Downing Street.

To be blunt, if someone took over now I doubt they'd last too long after loosing the Election. So who, out of the serious and viable contenders, is going to want it now? The best thing any of them can do is consolidate their places and start building alliances so after the next Election they can go for the top job.

Thus Gordon Brown will remain as PM. Not because he's doing a good job and has party and cabinet support but because no one else wants the job right now as it's poisoned. The best thing Brown could do that would send his detractors and plotters within his party off-balance would be to resign now. Then someone has to step forward - and risk getting tarnished by loosing the next election. Of course if they win then they're the golden child and those that held back waiting to step in post-Election loss are screwed.

Comments

cthulahoops
Sep. 15th, 2008 03:26 pm (UTC)
Firstly, changing leader doesn't require an election, it never has done, never will and never should. The prime minister is elected by parliament.

So, if Labour lose by a landslide, they are almost certainly looking at two terms in opposition, so it'll be a minimum of nine years before they hold power again. If the Tories are anything to go by, there'll be a couple of leadership changes in opposition anyway.

So, they need someone who'll be too old to be a serious candidate for in ten years time or someone who's seat is so unsafe they won't even be an MP after the next election. Right now that's most of the party.

I just hope they try something because as bad as New Labour are, I don't think I can face a Tory landslide.

Latest Month

May 2015
S M T W T F S
     12
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
24252627282930
31      

Tags

Page Summary

Powered by LiveJournal.com
Designed by Tiffany Chow